The bad science of DEP would regulate much of NJ as a flood zone, by Ray Cantor | Chroniclers

The bad science of DEP would regulate much of NJ as a flood zone, by Ray Cantor |  Chroniclers

PACT’s proposals are based on a flawed, unpaired Rutgers report, “New Jersey’s Rising Seas and Changing Coastal Storms: Report of the 2019 Science and Technical Advisory Panel,” which contained a table of level rise scenarios. the sea level in the state through the year 2150. The DEP selected the map forecast for the year 2100 – in 80 years – assuming a sea level rise of 5.1 feet, which, according to the report itself, has only a 17% chance of happening.

In other words, DEP wants homeowners and businesses to comply with flood risk regulations that assume this sea level rise is here today, not potentially 80 years into the future.

With a concomitant proposal to subject inland areas to 500-year flood levels, which is not based on any science at all, these proposed regulations will turn nearly half of the state into a regulatory flood area.

Let us examine the real impacts of these proposals.

Buildings in affected areas will need to be raised an additional 5 feet. Many areas of the state, including barrier islands, bay communities, as well as urban areas such as Hoboken, Newark, Jersey City, and Atlantic City, can become undevelopable. Even the redevelopment can be …

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